We’re at Bristol Motor Speedway this weekend for short track action in Thunder Valley. Bristol is one of those races that is always awesome to watch on TV, but it’s always frustrating from a Fantasy NASCAR perspective. The reason it’s always been frustrating is because one small mistake can easily ruin a driver’s day; one loose wheel or one pit road speeding penalty (hello Denny Hamlin) can easily put a driver down 5+ laps at a short track like Bristol. So you’re relying on drivers and teams to not make any mistakes as well as keep up with the track, which is difficult enough in itself.
Anyway, let’s get to this slate breakdown. First, here are some helpful links to the practice speeds and qualifying results from this weekend:
DraftKings Strategy Tactics for Bristol
Dominator. Points. We’re set to run 500 laps around Bristol Motor Speedway this weekend, and even though rain is threatening to cut this race short–or possibly even postpone it–I’m going to assume that all 500 laps are going to be ran. There’s lights here, and with Bristol only being a half-mile track, it dries pretty quickly.
Anyway, dominator points are obviously extremely important at this track, and from what we saw at Martinsville a couple of weeks ago, it might be extremely difficult to pass the lead here on Sunday. Do I think it’s going to be as tough as it was at Martinsville? No, but I think the guys starting up front have a more significant advantage to grab dominator points than at previous Bristol races.
Another interesting aspect to consider this weekend is the traction compound that has been applied to the track. Most drivers are saying that it is going to take longer than normal to wear out on Sunday–which would give those who stay at the bottom of the track more of an advantage–but, again, this is a long race, and eventually that high line is going to come into play. Drivers who aren’t overly strong to start the Food City 500 could easily become contenders by the end of it.
Bristol Food City 500 DraftKings Projections
You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.
Driver | Starting Position | DraftKings Salary | Avg Proj FPTS | Avg. Projected Finish | Proj Laps Led | Proj Fastest Laps | Dollar Per FPT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Busch | 17 | $12,900 | 87.4 | 03.6 | 40 | 46 | $148 |
Kevin Harvick | 13 | $11,600 | 85.9 | 03.0 | 59 | 39 | $135 |
Erik Jones | 4 | $7,800 | 79.2 | 04.0 | 78 | 37 | $98 |
Chase Elliott | 1 | $8,900 | 78.9 | 04.6 | 88 | 41 | $113 |
Ryan Blaney | 3 | $10,300 | 78.2 | 04.4 | 77 | 39 | $132 |
Clint Bowyer | 8 | $8,600 | 72.9 | 03.8 | 54 | 30 | $118 |
Kyle Larson | 16 | $9,500 | 55.6 | 09.2 | 12 | 22 | $171 |
Martin Truex Jr | 23 | $9,800 | 54.7 | 10.4 | 0 | 17 | $179 |
Jimmie Johnson | 10 | $8,000 | 53.0 | 09.4 | 21 | 25 | $151 |
Kurt Busch | 27 | $10,700 | 52.9 | 11.8 | 0 | 11 | $202 |
Denny Hamlin | 5 | $9,200 | 50.9 | 05.2 | 27 | 11 | $181 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 19 | $7,600 | 49.9 | 11.8 | 0 | 21 | $152 |
Joey Logano | 7 | $11,100 | 49.3 | 07.0 | 11 | 19 | $225 |
Brad Keselowski | 12 | $12,200 | 40.1 | 12.2 | 6 | 14 | $304 |
Daniel Suarez | 20 | $7,300 | 39.3 | 14.6 | 0 | 9 | $186 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 21 | $6,700 | 35.6 | 16.2 | 0 | 6 | $188 |
Austin Dillon | 15 | $7,200 | 33.0 | 14.0 | 0 | 4 | $218 |
Aric Almirola | 6 | $8,300 | 31.1 | 12.2 | 4 | 9 | $267 |
Ty Dillon | 24 | $5,800 | 27.6 | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | $210 |
Chris Buescher | 25 | $6,400 | 27.2 | 21.4 | 0 | 2 | $235 |
Ryan Preece | 30 | $6,500 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | $271 |
Daniel Hemric | 26 | $6,000 | 23.6 | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | $254 |
William Byron | 2 | $6,800 | 23.3 | 16.0 | 21 | 8 | $292 |
Bubba Wallace | 28 | $6,200 | 22.8 | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | $272 |
Ross Chastain | 37 | $5,700 | 21.8 | 29.6 | 0 | 0 | $261 |
Corey Lajoie | 32 | $5,200 | 21.2 | 27.4 | 0 | 0 | $245 |
Ryan Newman | 11 | $7,000 | 19.6 | 19.2 | 0 | 6 | $357 |
Alex Bowman | 14 | $7,400 | 19.4 | 19.8 | 0 | 2 | $381 |
David Ragan | 22 | $5,600 | 18.8 | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | $298 |
Landon Cassill | 31 | $5,300 | 18.6 | 28.2 | 0 | 0 | $285 |
Paul Menard | 9 | $6,900 | 18.1 | 18.2 | 2 | 2 | $381 |
Matt Tifft | 29 | $5,500 | 14.2 | 29.4 | 0 | 0 | $387 |
Quin Houff | 36 | $5,100 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 0 | 0 | $425 |
Michael McDowell | 18 | $5,400 | 11.6 | 25.2 | 0 | 0 | $466 |
Gray Gaulding | 33 | $4,700 | 10.2 | 33.4 | 0 | 0 | $461 |
Bayley Currey | 34 | $4,800 | 09.6 | 34.2 | 0 | 0 | $500 |