Phoenix Raceway is where we will crown the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Champion, as there are 312 laps scheduled around this one-mile flat track on Sunday afternoon. It’ll come down to Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, and Martin Truex, Jr. for the Championship, and likely the race as well. This will also cap off the 2021 DFS NASCAR season, so thank you for following along all season long! Hopefully these projections were able to help you win some money this year.
Optimal Lineup According to Jordan’s Projections
The optimal FanDuel lineup for Phoenix on Sunday afternoon according to my Projections is:
- Martin Truex, Jr.
- Joey Logano
- Kevin Harvick
- Aric Almirola
- Tyler Reddick
Confidence Rating = 6.3/10. Don’t really hate this one, but it’s hard to see any of these drivers leading significant laps except mayybeee Martin Truex, Jr. This lineup is relatively safe but I’m not sure it has a great chance of being optimal.
FanDuel Driver Projections for the Xfinity 500 at Martinsville
The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. Also factored in are projected laps led for each driver. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.
| Driver | FanDuel Salary | Avg Proj Pts | Starting Position | Ceiling Proj Pts | Dollar Per Pt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | $14,500 | 77.85 | 1 | 92.60 | $186 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | $13,000 | 75.70 | 12 | 88.20 | $172 |
| Chase Elliott | $14,000 | 75.58 | 2 | 82.50 | $185 |
| Denny Hamlin | $13,500 | 75.37 | 6 | 84.20 | $179 |
| Joey Logano | $11,000 | 69.42 | 10 | 79.50 | $158 |
| Kevin Harvick | $9,500 | 67.35 | 9 | 72.10 | $141 |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,800 | 67.05 | 11 | 76.80 | $146 |
| Ryan Blaney | $10,500 | 64.60 | 4 | 76.10 | $163 |
| Alex Bowman | $9,000 | 63.95 | 14 | 76.70 | $141 |
| Aric Almirola | $8,500 | 63.45 | 18 | 70.70 | $134 |
| William Byron | $12,000 | 63.20 | 3 | 72.70 | $190 |
| Christopher Bell | $10,000 | 63.20 | 8 | 72.50 | $158 |
| Tyler Reddick | $8,000 | 62.45 | 20 | 70.20 | $128 |
| Kyle Busch | $11,500 | 61.95 | 13 | 74.70 | $186 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,300 | 59.35 | 23 | 67.20 | $123 |
| Ross Chastain | $7,500 | 59.20 | 16 | 68.20 | $127 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | $6,200 | 55.60 | 21 | 58.70 | $112 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $7,700 | 55.35 | 15 | 61.70 | $139 |
| Erik Jones | $6,800 | 54.25 | 27 | 61.70 | $125 |
| Bubba Wallace | $7,000 | 53.25 | 25 | 62.20 | $131 |
| Kurt Busch | $8,200 | 52.75 | 5 | 64.00 | $155 |
| Chris Buescher | $6,300 | 52.25 | 26 | 58.20 | $121 |
| Chase Briscoe | $5,800 | 52.00 | 22 | 60.70 | $112 |
| Cole Custer | $6,000 | 47.35 | 7 | 59.40 | $127 |
| Daniel Suarez | $6,500 | 47.25 | 17 | 55.20 | $138 |
| Corey LaJoie | $4,500 | 46.65 | 24 | 57.20 | $96 |
| Ryan Preece | $4,500 | 45.95 | 31 | 54.70 | $98 |
| Michael McDowell | $5,500 | 44.70 | 28 | 51.70 | $123 |
| Ryan Newman | $5,000 | 44.15 | 19 | 53.20 | $113 |
| Justin Haley | $4,000 | 43.10 | 29 | 49.20 | $93 |
| Anthony Alfredo | $4,000 | 41.85 | 30 | 48.20 | $96 |
| B.J. McLeod | $2,500 | 41.35 | 32 | 44.70 | $60 |
| Cody Ware | $3,000 | 38.30 | 33 | 43.70 | $78 |
| Quin Houff | $3,000 | 37.30 | 35 | 41.70 | $80 |
| Joey Gase | $2,000 | 36.80 | 34 | 42.70 | $54 |
| Josh Bilicki | $2,500 | 36.45 | 37 | 41.20 | $69 |
| Garrett Smithley | $2,000 | 34.85 | 38 | 40.20 | $57 |
| David Starr | $2,000 | 34.60 | 36 | 40.70 | $58 |
| Timmy Hill | $2,000 | 32.50 | 39 | 34.70 | $62 |
