I hope you’re jumping on this train sooner rather than later, boys and girls, because the bets from Fantasy Racing Online are scorching hot right now and putting money in many people’s pockets! The betting card at New Hampshire was an absolute smasher and the we hit Kyle Larson at 9-to-1 at Watkins Glen as well as big top 20 bets (my bread and butter lately). Now we’re at the Indianapolis Road Course and ready to do it all again, so let’s get to this week’s card!
Indy Road Course Betting Card
#JordanJinx
Austin Cindric to Win (+3000) – As talked about on the Stacking Dennys podcast this week, both RotoDoc and myself love the value here with Austin Cindric at 30-to-1 to win on Sunday. He showed at Road America that he can legitimately contend with this #33 Ford, and if he doesn’t have mechanical issues this weekend, there’s no reason to think that Cindric will struggle on Sunday. He has more track time than most of the other Cup drivers in the field and has Penske equipment that is good enough to win. As the week moved forward, Cindric’s line continued to get shorter. I’d probably bet it down to 20-to-1.
Favorite Bet of the Week
Austin Dillon Top 20 Finish (+175) – Again, please follow me on Twitter, because there are some very good value bets when top 20 lines initially post, and they don’t last long (tweet linked below). I usually tweet them out immediately. Anyway, Austin Dillon opened up at +175 for a top 20 finish this weekend, which was actually so good of a value that I turned around and bet it again after placing my initial bets. Sportsbooks are still under-valuing Austin Dillon on road courses. Not only is AD getting extra seat time with the Xfinity race but he’s finished inside the top 15 in each of the last four road course races this season. Unfortunately, Austin Dillon top 20 at +175 quickly turned into +100 and then went down to -150 after practice on Saturday, so I hope you got the line early. I probably wouldn’t touch it again unless it went back up to even-money.
Rest of Jordan’s Card
Chris Buescher Top 20 Finish (+130) – What!? I was jumping for joy when I got Buescher at -105 for a top 20 finish at Watkins Glen last weekend, and now he’s +130 for the same finish at the Indy Road Course? Yep, hammer time part two. Do you remember back when Chris Buescher was driving the #34 Ford for Front Row Motorsports (the car Michael McDowell is in now)? It was back during the 2016 season. That’s the last time Chris Buescher has finished outside of the top 20 at a road course. Case closed. Getting this at +130 is incredible.
Austin Dillon (+100) over Cole Custer – The algorithm thinks this is an absolute slam dunk bet, and the fact that Cole Custer is the one that is the favorite in this matchup shows once again how much sportsbooks are still under-valuing Austin Dillon at road courses. Austin Dillon is 4-1 in this matchup on road courses this season with the only exception being at Daytona Road Course where he had issues and finished 34th.
Christopher Bell Top 5 Finish (+250) – Christopher Bell and this #20 team will be out for vengeance this weekend at the Indy Road Course after getting spun at Watkins Glen and missing out on a chance to win that race. CBell is a legitimate road course racer and could end up winning this Verizon 200 at The Brickyard on Sunday. Getting him at +250 for a top 5 finish is some great value.
Austin Cindric Top 10 Finish (+130) and Top 5 Finish (+475) – See notes above on Cindric.
Outright Winners
I’ll warn you now: road courses aren’t the type of races to bet against the favorites. It’s very, very likely that either Chase Elliott, Kyle Larson, or Martin Truex, Jr. is going to win this race on Sunday. However, with these favorites being so short, this offers some great odds for other capable drivers in the field…just take these bets with a grain of salt. I’m not going big on these by any means.
Denny Hamlin to Win (+1900) – Surprisingly enough, James Dennis Alan Hamlin only has one road course win on his Cup Series resumé: at Watkins Glen back in 2016. But getting him at 19-to-1 is really too good to pass up. Hamlin is a constant top 5 contender at this track type, and with that, all it takes is a good strategy call or something happening to one or two of the main contenders, and Hamlin could very well end up in victory lane. Head on over to FanDuel Sportsbook to grab this one.
Christopher Bell to Win (+2500) – Caesars Sportsbook had some great odds this weekend for the Verizon 200 at The Brickyard, particularly Christopher Bell at 25-to-1. This #20 Toyota was good enough to contend for the win at Watkins Glen last weekend before Bell got spun, and you can expect this car to have similar speed here in Indianapolis on Sunday. Now CBell is running with a bit of a chip on his shoulder, too. Don’t forget that this kid won the Daytona Road Course race this season.
Chase Briscoe to Win (+7500) – Do I expect Chase Briscoe to win on Sunday? Absolutely not. Do I think he has top 10 potential? For sure. Am I going to pass up 75-to-1 odds? Nope. It’s worth throwing $10 or $20 on this line. Briscoe is a great road course racer and, like I mentioned with Austin Cindric above, has more track time than most on the Indy Road Course. Briscoe won the Xfinity race here last season and has finished 6th in the two Cup road course races with practice and qualifying this year. Crazier things have definitely happened before…
