The NASCAR Cup Series is at Nashville Superspeedway this weekend for the Ally 400. If that track name doesn’t sound familiar, that’s because this is basically a brand new track; this series hasn’t raced in Nashville since 1984 when it was “Fairgrounds Speedway.” With no track history to go off of, NASCAR Fantasy players are likely relying on practice data quite a bit this weekend, since there are also no great comparison tracks to use, as Nashville is a 1.33-mile concrete oval. Due to qualifying being just a couple of hours before the start of this race, we will just get right to the algorithm predicted finishing order and back to normal posting next week.
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How the algorithm works: There are quite a few statistics that go into the Power Index formula, including recent performance both overall and at this week’s track specifically, similar track performance, projected strength of the car, practice speeds (when applicable), starting position, and a few other variables.
Nashville Ally 400 Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order
Rank | Driver | Power Index |
1. | Larson, Kyle | 40.20 |
2. | Elliott, Chase | 37.81 |
3. | Byron, William | 36.54 |
4. | Logano, Joey | 35.38 |
5. | Busch, Kyle | 34.49 |
6. | Bowman, Alex | 34.41 |
7. | Truex, Jr., Martin | 32.12 |
8. | Hamlin, Denny | 31.94 |
9. | Harvick, Kevin | 30.60 |
10. | Blaney, Ryan | 28.18 |
11. | Keselowski, Brad | 28.12 |
12. | Dillon, Austin | 27.75 |
13. | Buescher, Chris | 22.88 |
14. | Reddick, Tyler | 20.43 |
15. | Bell, Christopher | 17.43 |
16. | Stenhouse, Jr., Ricky | 14.85 |
17. | Busch, Kurt | 14.50 |
18. | Almirola, Aric | 10.79 |
19. | DiBenedetto, Matt | 05.49 |
20. | Wallace, Bubba | 04.13 |
21. | Chastain, Ross | 01.31 |
22. | Suarez, Daniel | -04.81 |
23. | Jones, Erik | -10.89 |
24. | Custer, Cole | -13.47 |
25. | Briscoe, Chase | -13.76 |
26. | McDowell, Michael | -20.87 |
27. | Newman, Ryan | -21.01 |
28. | Preece, Ryan | -25.30 |
29. | LaJoie, Corey | -30.22 |
30. | Alfredo, Anthony | -32.38 |
31. | Haley, Justin | -33.33 |
32. | Yeley, JJ | -40.88 |
33. | Smithley, Garrett | -42.04 |
34. | McLeod, BJ | -42.33 |
35. | Houff, Quin | -42.54 |
36. | Bilicki, Josh | -44.56 |
37. | Gase, Joey | -44.86 |
38. | Finchum, Chad | -46.95 |
39. | Starr, David | -50.10 |