Today’s Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway is going to go through a transition as the race goes on. Not only will the overall dynamic of the race itself change, but the track conditions themselves will change as well. Today’s championship race will start during the day but end at night, and as the event goes on, the four drivers still eligible for the championship will be racing harder than they ever have before to get to the front. One interesting thing to note: the driver that leads the most laps in a typical Homestead race usually doesn’t get to victory lane. The last time someone led the most laps here and won the race was Carl Edwards back in 2010.
Other posts to read: Drivers to Target at Homestead and Drivers to Avoid at Homestead posts.
Lineup #1
Kevin Harvick is in a prime position to lead a whole bunch of laps today, and Carl Edwards looks to have a car that is very strong as well. With this Lineup, we have those two on there as well as a few guys that should score quite a few place differential FPTS (Kyle Larson, Kasey Kahne, and Ty Dillon). Hopefully Michael McDowell can keep his car off the wall this week, and this could be a very good lineup.
- Kevin Harvick
- Carl Edwards
- Kyle Larson
- Kasey Kahne
- Ty Dillon
- Michael McDowell
Lineup #2
Martin Truex, Jr. has been the best on the 1.5-mile race tracks this season and Homestead is (statistically) his best track on the Sprint Cup circuit. This Lineup also throws in Austin Dillon, who has been one of the most steady performers at these intermediate tracks this season, and showed potential top 10 speed during the practice sessions on Saturday.
- Martin Truex, Jr.
- Carl Edwards
- Kyle Larson
- Kasey Kahne
- Austin Dillon
- Regan Smith
Lineup #3
The Hendrick duo of Jimmie Johnson and Chase Elliott have been two of the best on the recent intermediate race tracks, and both of those have cars that can lead a bunch of laps today. Johnson also has room for place differential FPTS, as he qualified back in 14th. You could also swap out Paul Menard for Danica Patrick with this Lineup.
- Jimmie Johnson
- Carl Edwards
- Chase Elliott
- Kasey Kahne
- Paul Menard
- Landon Cassill
Lineup #4
Carl Edwards is going to be pretty high-owned in DraftKings today, so this Lineup gives you the opportunity to fade him. As far as Regan Smith goes, we think he is the best option among the low-low dollar drivers this weekend. He’s typically a mid-20s finisher and he starts back in 35th today.
- Kevin Harvick
- Chase Elliott
- Kyle Larson
- Kasey Kahne
- Austin Dillon
- Regan Smith
